The 2025 PGA Championship leaderboard has been surprising through the first two rounds after the Masters leaderboard was packed with stars heading into the weekend last month. It has not been the same story at Quail Hollow Club, where there are many longshots in contention for the second major of the year. Jhonattan Vegas has never cracked the top 20 at a major, but he holds a two-stroke lead over Si Woo Kim, Matt Fitzpatrick and Matthieu Pavon. Vegas is 12-1 in the 2025 PGA Championship odds, while World No. 1 Scottie Scheffler is the +210 favorite. Weather has scrambled the Round 3 schedule a bit on Saturday morning, but the leaders are still scheduled to tee off shortly before 2 p.m. ET.
Scheffler is three shots behind Vegas entering the weekend, while Bryson DeChambeau (+850) is five shots behind. Kim and Fitzpatrick join Vegas at 12-1 on the PGA odds board, but should you back any of them with your 2025 PGA Championship bets? Before locking in any 2025 PGA Championship weekend picks, be sure to see the 2025 PGA Championship predictions and projected leaderboard from the proven computer model at SportsLine.
SportsLine’s proprietary model, built by DFS pro Mike McClure, has been red-hot since the PGA Tour resumed in June 2020. In fact, the model is up nearly $9,000 on its best bets since the restart, nailing tournament after tournament.
This same model has also nailed a whopping 14 majors entering the weekend, including the 2025 Masters (its fourth Masters in a row) and last year’s PGA Championship and U.S. Open. Anyone who has followed its sports betting picks could have seen massive returns on betting apps like FanDuel, DraftKings and Fanatics.
Now that two rounds are in the books at the 2025 PGA Championship, SportsLine simulated the final two rounds 10,000 times, and the results were surprising. Head to SportsLine now to see the projected 2025 PGA Championship leaderboard.
Top 2025 PGA Championship predictions
One surprise the model is calling for at the 2025 PGA Championship: Jhonattan Vegas, the leader and one of the top favorites, struggles and barely cracks the top five. He’s one of the 2025 PGA Championship weekend favorites to avoid. Vegas is coming off rounds of 64-70, becoming the 16th player to hold the outright lead after the first and second rounds of a PGA Championship.
The 40-year-old had never posted consecutive under-par rounds in 16 previous major championship starts, and he has never finished inside the top 20 at a major. Vegas only has one top-10 finish in 11 PGA Tour starts this season. The model does not have Vegas remaining at the top of the leaderboard throughout the weekend, recommending other PGA Championship bets instead. See who else to fade at SportsLine.
Another surprise: McIlroy, a 40-1 longshot, makes a strong run at the title. He has a much better chance to win it all than his odds imply, so he’s a target for anyone looking for a huge payday. McIlroy struggled in the first round before seemingly turning things around with four birdies and six pars in his first 10 holes on Friday. He wound up with four bogeys in the final eight holes to land right on the cut line at 1 over.
McIlroy has displayed his firepower on countless occasions, and he has an even bigger advantage playing at Quail Hollow. He can pick up strokes on the field on multiple holes due to his driving ability, which gives him an opportunity to get right back in the mix. McIlroy just won the career grand slam at the Masters, so his poor finish on Friday will not derail his confidence heading into the third round. See who else to back at SportsLine.
How to make 2025 PGA Championship picks
The model is targeting two other golfers with odds of 45-1 or longer who will make surprising runs on Saturday and Sunday, including one monster longshot that returns around 75-1. Anyone who backs these longshots could hit it big. You can only see the model’s PGA Championship picks here.
So, who will win the PGA Championship 2025, and which longshots stun the golfing world? Check out the 2025 PGA Championship odds below and then visit SportsLine to see the projected 2025 PGA Championship leaderboard, all from the model that’s nailed 14 golf majors, including four straight Masters.
2025 PGA Championship odds, weekend contenders
See full PGA Championship 2025 picks, best bets, and predictions here.
Scottie Scheffler +210
Bryson DeChambeau +850
Jhonattan Vegas +1200
Matt Fitzpatrick +1200
Si Woo Kim +1200
Max Homa +1800
Jon Rahm +2200
Robert MacIntyre +3300
Matthieu Pavon +3500
Denny McCarthy +4000
J.T. Poston +4500
Viktor Hovland +4500
Rory McIlroy +4500
Alex Smalley +5000
Tommy Fleetwood +6000
Ryan Fox +5000
Tony Finau +5500
Sam Stevens +5500