Appalachian State vs. South Alabama prediction, odds: 2024 college football Week 4 picks by advanced model



joey aguilar app state usatsi

Teams looking to get off to a fast start to Sun Belt Conference play meet when the South Alabama Jaguars take on the Appalachian State Mountaineers on Thursday night in Boone, N.C. Appalachian State has won four of the previous five meetings between the schools. The Jaguars (1-2), who are coming off a school and conference-record 87-10 win over Northwestern State, are just 2-5 on the road since the start of last season. The Mountaineers (2-1), who tripped up East Carolina 21-19 a week ago, are 6-1 on their home field since the beginning of 2023.

Kickoff is set for 7:30 p.m. ET at Kidd Brewer Stadium in Boone, N.C. The Mountaineers are 7.5-point favorites in the latest South Alabama vs. Appalachian State odds via SportsLine consensus, while the over/under for total points scored is 62.5. Before making any Appalachian State vs. South Alabama picks, check out the college football predictions from the SportsLine Projection Model.

The model simulates every FBS college football game 10,000 times. Since its inception, it has generated a profit of over $2,000 for $100 players on its top-rated college football picks against the spread. It is also coming off a profitable 13-9 season on top-rated spread picks and is off to a 5-2 start on over/under picks this season. Anyone who has followed it has seen strong returns.

The model has set its sights on South Alabama vs. Appalachian State. You can head to SportsLine to see its picks. Here are several college football betting lines for the spread, money line and over/under for the game: 

  • South Alabama vs. Appalachian State spread: Appalachian State -7.5
  • South Alabama vs. Appalachian State over/under: 62.5 points
  • South Alabama vs. Appalachian State money line: Appalachian State -282, South Alabama +224
  • SA: The Jaguars have hit the game total over in eight of their last 13 games (+2.50 units)
  • APS: The Mountaineers have hit the game total under in nine of their last 14 games (+3.50 units)
  • South Alabama vs. Appalachian State picks: See picks at SportsLine

Why you should back Appalachian State

Junior running back Anderson Castle has become a dual-threat in the offense. He leads the Mountaineers in rushing with 148 yards on 33 carries (4.5 average) and one touchdown. Castle is also the team’s fifth-leading receiver with eight receptions for 52 yards (6.5 average). In parts of five seasons for Appalachian State, he has carried 176 times for 938 yards (5.3 average) and eight touchdowns.

Senior quarterback Joey Aguilar runs the offense. In three games this season, he has completed 72 of 124 passes (58.1%) for 964 yards and five touchdowns. He has two interceptions but has a rating of 133.4. He has also carried 15 times for 44 yards (2.9 average) and two touchdowns. In two seasons with the Mountaineers, he has thrown for 4,721 yards and 38 TDs with just 12 picks for a rating of 147.8. See which team to pick here.

Why you should back South Alabama

There was no stopping the Jaguars offense last week as they rolled up 620 total yards. Redshirt freshman quarterback Gio Lopez played just one half, but still completed 15 of 19 passes (78.9%) for 257 yards and four touchdowns. He threw for 432 yards and three touchdowns in a 52-38 loss to North Texas on Aug. 31. In parts of two seasons for South Alabama, Lopez has completed 82 of 129 passes (63.6%) for 1,164 yards and 11 touchdowns with just two interceptions.

Senior receiver Jamaal Pritchett has been the Jaguars’ top target. He has 20 receptions for 287 yards (14.4 average) and three TDs. He has caught a touchdown pass in all three games this year. In the opening game loss to North Texas, Pritchett caught 10 passes for 197 yards and one touchdown. In three seasons at South Alabama, he has 79 receptions for 1,194 yards (15.1 average) and 11 TDs. See which team to pick here.

How to make South Alabama vs. Appalachian State picks

SportsLine’s model is leaning Over on the total. It also says one side of the spread hits in well over 50% of simulations. You can only get the pick at SportsLine.

So who wins South Alabama vs. Appalachian State, and which side of the spread hits in well over 50% of simulations? Visit SportsLine now to see which side of the South Alabama vs. Appalachian State spread to jump on, all from the advanced model that is up over $2,000 on its FBS college football picks since its inception, and find out.





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