Fantasy Football Week 11 Quarterback Preview: Trevor Lawrence is tough to trust

In Week 10 we didn’t have Patrick Mahomes, Tua Tagovailoa, Jalen Hurts, or Matthew Stafford. The quarterback position was actually shallow. This week we’re missing Mac Jones, Derek Carr, Gardner Minshew, and whoever Arthur Smith plans on starting. Well, I wouldn’t necessarily say we’re missing them.

A week after scrambling to find a top-10 QB I have 16 different quarterbacks projected for at least 20 Fantasy points. That means you really shouldn’t need a streaming option. I still have one listed for you below in case you do, but you really shouldn’t.

One guy that isn’t projected for 20, who you might want to stream over, is Trevor Lawrence. Lawrence has only topped 20 Fantasy points twice all season and I don’t currently expect him to make it a third against the Titans. The problem for Lawrence, as it has been for most of his career, is touchdowns. His owns a 3% touchdown rate this season and a 3.1% TD rate for his career. That means he’s extremely unlikely to throw more than one TD, something he’s only done twice this season and 11 times in his career. 

Without that second TD, it’s really tough to get to 20 Fantasy points. And while we expected the Titans to be a great matchup for QBs, only three of them have thrown more than one touchdown against Tennessee this season. You can find more of my projections for Week 11 over at SportsLine.

• More Week 11 previews: QB | RB | WR | TE

Let’s get to the rest of the preview:

Week 11 QB Preview

• 1,486 — Trevor Lawrence’s 1,486 attempts are the fourth most for an active QB with a TD rate below 3.4% trailing Daniel Jones, Jacoby Brissett, and Blaine Gabbert.
• 24.6 — Josh Allen’s 24.6 rush yards per game is a career low, barley more than half of what he averaged last year.
• 11.8 — Opposing QBs are averaging 11.8 FPPG against the Ravens. Joshua Dobbs is the only QB to score more than 18 against them.
• 17% — Deshaun Watson’s 17% off target rate is the highest in the league by two points.
• 1.6% — C.J. Stroud’s 1.6% turnover-worthy throw rate is the second-best in the league behind only Jared Goff.
• 25.7 — Russell Wilson is averaging 25.7 rush yards per game, his second-best average since 2017.

My full set of Week 11 Fantasy Football projections for every position are now available on SportsLine. Find out which of my favorite plays are projected to score higher than consensus rankings and which don’t live up to their draft hype, at least in Week 11. Projected stats for all starting quarterbacks are available, so be sure to check out the full set of projections at SportsLine.