Trump win is a ‘mixed bag’ for retailers, analyst says
A shopper carries bags at the Polaris Fashion Place mall on Black Friday in Columbus, Ohio.
Bloomberg | Bloomberg | Getty Images
Trump’s presidential victory “brings a mixed bag of positives and negatives” for the retail industry plus “a large dose of uncertainty”, says GlobalData managing director Neil Saunders.
“The main positive for retail is that President Trump will almost certainly renew the tax cut package he introduced during his first term in 2017, which was due to expire at the end of 2025. This will be broadly helpful to consumer incomes, although retailers should not expect to see a surge in spending as it is about rolling over an existing policy that is already baked into consumer behavior,” the retail analyst said in an emailed note. “The huge downside to retail comes from Trump’s proposals on tariffs.”
If Trump makes good on his promise to raise tariffs on goods made overseas, retailers will bear the brunt of that cost, said Saunders.
“Given the trade between Chinese manufacturers and US retailers, a strict tariff policy would mean retailers initially either taking a massive hit on profits or being forced to put up prices, which would fuel inflation and dampen retail volume growth,” said Saunders. “Over time, supply chains would adjust to a new tariff regime, but this would not happen overnight and would be incredibly disruptive.”
Saunders noted that there’s a “small hope” that Trump’s comments on raising tariffs are more of a negotiating tactic and any eventual changes could be “modest in scope.”
–Gabrielle Fonrouge
Abortion ballot measures pass in 7 states, fail in 3 others
Activists hold a rally in support of two Missouri ballot amendments including Amendment 3, a measure that would establish a constitutional right to abortion, at a UAW local in Kansas City, Missouri, U.S., October 12, 2024.Â
Evelyn Hockstein | Reuters
Abortion rights ballot measures passed in seven states and failed in three others, more than two years after the U.S. Supreme Court overturned Roe v. Wade and ended the federal constitutional right to the procedure.Â
Amendments to protect abortion access passed in Arizona, Colorado, New York, Maryland, Montana, Missouri and Nevada.
Voters in Missouri cleared the way to undo one of the nation’s most restrictive abortion bans. Similarly in Arizona, voters passed a measure that is expected to overturn the state’s ban on abortions 15 weeks into pregnancy.
But Florida, Nebraska and South Dakota defeated similar constitutional amendments, leaving bans in place.
— Annika Kim Constantino
Barclays warns of ‘knee-jerk’ market reactions in near term
Markets should brace for “knee-jerk” moves in the short term, as it remains unclear whether Trump’s victory will also be accompanied by a “Red Sweep” â implying a Republican win in both the House and the Senate.
In our view, the most positive outcome for US equities is a Red Sweep, the most negative outcome for EU equities, in relative terms, is Trump and a divided congress,” they said, flagging that a contested election or any lingering electoral uncertainties had been a foremost concern for investors.
The analysts identified trade tariffs as a “key risk for Europe,” with a higher likelihood of implementation under a Trump administration.
“We thus think that EU equities are likely to continue lagging US equities on a relative basis,” Barclays said.
â Ruxandra Iordache
Trump Media pares gains in premarket trading â still up 30% on Trump win
Shares of Trump Media are up more than 30% premarket as NBC News projects Trump â the company’s majority owner â the winner of the presidential election.
The Truth Social parent company surged above 50% after the close Tuesday but has since pared back those gains. More than 34 million shares have changed hands in premarket trading.
Read the full story here.
Trump Media & Technology Group shares
â Josephine Rozzelle
Trump to launch “mass deportation” on day one of presidency, press secretary says
Republican presidential nominee and former U.S. President Donald Trump addresses supporters during his rally for the 2024 U.S. Presidential Election, in Palm Beach County Convention Center, in West Palm Beach, Florida, U.S., November 6, 2024.Â
Brendan Mcdermid | Reuters
Trump press secretary Karoline Leavitt says it’s time for the incoming president to make good on his campaign promises, including a “mass deportation operation” on day one of his administration.
“The American people delivered a resounding victory for President Trump, and gives him a mandate to govern as he campaigned, to deliver on the promises that he made, which include, on day one, launching the largest mass deportation operation of illegal immigrants that Kamala Harris has allowed this country,” Leavitt said on Fox News.
While on the campaign trail, Trump frequently spoke about his plans to deport people who he said had entered the country unlawfully.
–Gabrielle Fonrouge
Argentina’s Milei urges Trump to ‘Make America Great Again’
Javier Milei, Argentina’s president, during a special address on day two of the World Economic Forum (WEF) in Davos, Switzerland, on Wednesday, Jan. 17, 2024.
Bloomberg | Bloomberg | Getty Images
Argentina’s right-wing President Javier Milei congratulated Trump on his “formidable electoral victory” in a social media post on the X platform.
“Now, Make America Great Again. You know that You can count on Argentina to carry out your task. Success and blessings,” Milei said.
Often likened, Trump and Milei enjoy a cordial relationship, with the Republican president previously welcoming the Argentinian leader’s win in the Latin American country’s election last year and urging him to “Make Argentina Great Again” at the time.
â Ruxandra Iordache
Black voters no longer vote in a block, former Obama official says
Jeh Johnson, former secretary of Homeland Security (DHS).
Zach Gibson | Bloomberg | Getty Images
Trump’s decisive presidential victory indicates that Black voters no longer vote in a block,” said Jeh Johnson, former Homeland Security Secretary in the Obama Administration.
“We have come to believe over generations that different demographic groups vote as a block because for so often, for so long, the black vote in this country voted in a block,” Johnson said on MSNBC. “90% for Democrats from Johnson all the way to Obama and that is just not true anymore.”
The comments come after Trump managed to break barriers across a wide range of demographics in his victory over Harris, winning over Black and Latino voters that once would have voted blue.
“As different demographic groups become further integrated into our society they start caring about all of the other issues that everyone else does, whether it’s the economy, crime, whether its border security,” said Johnson.
— Gabrielle Fonrouge
Dow futures rally 1,300 points after Trump win
Stock futures soared as traders cheered Donald Trump’s victory over Vice President Kamala Harris.
Dow Jones Industrial Average futures were up 1,335 points, or 3.2%. S&P 500 futures surged 2.3%, while Nasdaq-100 futures advanced 1.7%.
â Fred Imbert
Trump remakes Republican party into party of working class, senior advisor says
Senior Adviser Jason Miller, is seen outside the courtroom as Republican presidential candidate, former U.S. President Donald Trump attends his criminal trial at the New York State Supreme Court in New York, New York, Thursday, May, 2, 2024.Â
Doug Mills | Via Reuters
Trump senior advisor Jason Miller says the incoming president “has completely remade the Republican Party to be the party of the working class” following his decisive victory.
“This isn’t the Republican Party of old. President Trump has completely remade the Republican Party to be the party of the working class,” Miller said in an interview with NBC’s Savannah Guthrie. “You think about the teamsters, the union workers, the folks who want to keep the auto industry, but you think about black voters, Latino voters, think about the Arab American voters in Michigan who rallied around President Trump, his win is already starting to show how he can bring that together.”
–Gabrielle Fonrouge
Tim Sheehy unseats Sen. Jon Tester in Montana Senate election, NBC News projects
Senator Jon Tester questions Treasury Secretary Janet Yellen during the Senate Banking, Housing, and Urban Affairs Committee hearing titled âThe Financial Stability Oversight Council Annual Report to Congress,â in Dirksen Senate Office Building in Washington, D.C.,U.S., May 10, 2022.Â
Pool | Reuters
Republican nominee Tim Sheehy defeated incumbent Democratic Sen. Jon Tester in the race for Montana’s Senate seat, NBC News projects.
Sheehy, a businessman and former Navy SEAL, focused his campaign on the economy, border security and gun rights. Tester, a farmer who’s had three terms in the Senate, faced a tough road to victory ahead of the race.
— Gabrielle Fonrouge
Oil prices lose ground after Trump victory
An oil pump jack is shown in a field on June 28, 2024 in Nolan, Texas.Â
Brandon Bell | Getty Images
Oil prices retreated on Wednesday, after Donald Trump defeated Kamala Harris to clinch leadership of the White House.
The Ice Brent contract with January delivery was trading at $74.52 per barrel at 12:10 p.m. London time, down 1.34%. The front-month December contract lost 1.38% to $71 per barrel.
Donald Trump’s election could impact the supply of the world’s largest crude producer, as the Republican politician has previously endorsed policies pledging to fully unleash America’s oil and gas production. The additional supply would exacerbate a picture of already weak demand.
â Ruxandra Iordache
Scholz says Germany and the U.S. will continue to work to promote ‘prosperity and freedom’
German Chancellor Olaf Scholz attends the European Political Community (EPC) summit at the Blenheim Palace in Woodstock, Oxfordshire, United Kingdom on July 18, 2024.Â
Rasid Necati Aslim | Anadolu | Getty Images
German Chancellor Olaf Scholz extended his congratulations to Donald Trump, after the former U.S. president claimed victory in the latest election to clinch leadership of the White House.
“For a long time, Germany and the US have been working together successfully promoting prosperity and freedom on both sides of the Atlantic. We will continue to do so for the wellbeing of our citizens,” Scholz said on social media platform X.
Europe’s largest economy counted the U.S. as its largest trading partner in the first half of this year, according to Reuters. The two countries are also close allies in the NATO military coalition.
â Ruxandra Iordache
Russia’s Putin so far silent on U.S. election
Kremlin leader Vladimir Putin has so far kept silent on the latest result of the U.S. election.
“I am not aware of the president’s plans to congratulate Trump on his election,” Kremlin Press Secretary Dmitry Peskov told reporters Wednesday, according to Google-translated comments from state news agency Tass.
“Let’s not forget that we are talking about an unfriendly country that is directly and indirectly involved in a war against our state,” he added.
US President Donald Trump meets Russian President Vladimir Putin on the first day of the G20 summit in Osaka, Japan on June 28, 2019.
Anadolu Agency | Anadolu Agency | Getty Images
Russian President Vladimir Putin and Trump appeared to enjoy cordial relations during the latter’s U.S. 2017-2021 presidency. The relationship was mired in controversy after allegations of collusion between Trump’s then presidential campaign team and Russia, which was accused of meddling in the 2016 election.
Read the whole story.
â Holly Ellyatt
Netanyahu welcomes ‘huge victory’
Israeli Prime Minister Benjamin Netanyahu offered his congratulations to both Donald and Melania Trump.
“Congratulations on history’s greatest comeback! Your historic return to the White House offers a new beginning for America and a powerful recommitment to the great alliance between Israel and America,” Netanyahu said.
“This is a huge victory!” he added.
Israel is a close U.S. ally in the Middle East and has benefitted from military aid from Washington during its conflict with Palestinian militant group Hamas and other Iranian proxies, including neighbor Lebanon’s Hezbollah.
Read the whole story.
â Sam Meredith and Ruxandra Iordache